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customer discovery

Customer Discovery: Job One for A Successful Startup

Customer Discovery: Job-One for a Successful Startup

 

customer discovery

There are two paths to a startup. The first is to get an idea, develop a product, produce a product and then try to sell it.  The second is to get an idea, test the market appetite, create a prototype, test the market reaction, revise, and test until you are ready to produce.

I probably don’t need to tell you that the second path is typically more successful. The better you understand your customer, their needs, and their appetite for your product, the more likely you will be to build a product people will buy. This is the path of customer discovery.

If the second path is typically more successful, why do founders choose the first path so often?  There are several reasons. One reason is that founders assume that because they saw a need for the solution, others will buy it.  It’s the “if you build it, they will come” model.  Unfortunately, just because you want it, or think it is a good business idea, doesn’t mean that other people will spend money on it.

 

Product-Market Fit

Before you get too far along your startup journey, I encourage you to think about what we call product-market fit. Product-market fit is when there is a need and an appetite for a solution to a problem. It also means that your solution fills the need and is priced so that people will buy it. Solving a problem isn’t enough. You have to make sure there is a product-market fit.  We do that through customer discovery.

The customer discovery process starts by understanding who has the problem you are trying to solve, how important it is, and how much they are willing to spend to solve it. If you get an answer that indicates the problem is troublesome enough that they are willing to invest to solve it, you can test your solution model with the potential customer.

You begin this customer discovery process by defining the target market you believe will want your product, developing a series of questions to understand the customer’s interest, analyzing the data, and then revising and retesting if necessary. If you believe there is more than one target market for your product, then you may need to run this customer discovery process more than one time.

 

4 Part Customer Discovery Process:

  • Define a Target Market
  • Customer Validation: Understanding the:
  • Problem
  • Urgency
  • Appetite (Budget)
  • Testing your solution
  • Analyzing the Data
  • Revision & Retesting

 

Define the Target Market

If you have an idea for a product, the next step is to think about who might use it.  Don’t make the mistake of thinking “anyone” or “everyone” can use it.  While that may be true, it is more helpful to think about who is most likely to have the problem you are solving and be willing to invest resources into solving it.  Who do you think will be easiest to sell this to?  Then, stop and think if there are other groups that might also be able to use it.  Make a list of the groups of buyers. Many founders would be surprised how often companies have changed their target market when they realize that a different buyer is willing to pay more or buy it more often.

Depending on what you sell, your target customers could be moms of teenagers, accountants, or quality control specialists in labs. For example, if you’re a founder selling testing equipment, you may think that the equipment would most often be used by labs in water treatment facilities. You might discover that other labs test for similar things that could use the same equipment. Those other types of labs might be another target market.

If you are selling business-to-business (B2B), you might want to consider all the people who might be involved in buying or using the product you are selling. You may want to interview more than one type of buyer during your customer discovery.

 

Customer Validation

Customer Validation is the process of studying the potential buyer.  There are many ways to do this. You can set up a study and have people participate, you can send out a survey, or you can do interviews.  There are probably other ways to do this as well.  With a new product, especially for a new founder, doing interviews is a great starting place because people will tell you things you didn’t think to ask.

Before you interview or survey potential customers, develop your customer discovery questions. Here is a link to some sample questions on customer discovery.  It is important to think through the questions and test them on people before you start your interviews. You want to ensure you are asking what you mean to ask and that the questions are easy to understand and answer. You also want to ensure you are not leading them to answer in a specific way. You want honest answers.

Start by understanding the problem. (I use ‘problem’, but it could be something they want to achieve or avoid). You are assuming that people have a certain problem. First, you need to confirm that they have that problem.  Next, you will want to understand how that impacts them.  How much of a problem is it? Many problems don’t seem worth fixing. Other problems create other problems when you fix them.  You need to understand all of this. The problem has to be bothersome enough that they are willing to suffer through the solution.

Next, understand how urgent a solution is. Is this priority 1 or 56?  Do other things need to get solved before this, or in order to solve this?  What is the timeline around those things? If I want a new carpet but don’t want to get it until I fix the leak in the roof and the water damage on the ceiling, the new carpet may have to wait a few weeks or months. Timing is everything. 

Once you understand the timing, ask how much they will pay. Remember that the price of your product may only be part of the cost for them. If I buy makeup, I may also have to buy brushes. If I buy a new car, I must also get new insurance and register the car.  So you need to understand how much they will pay for your solution plus how much else they are willing to invest.

Finally, test your solution with them. You may want to bring a prototype for them to test. Do they like your solution?  What do they like or not like about your solution? Does seeing your solution change their urgency or how much they are willing to pay? 

Be as consistent as you can in asking the questions. It will be hard to analyze the data if you don’t follow the same process every time.  Give yourself a place to track answers not specifically asked in the questionnaire.

 

Analyze the Data

Compiling and understanding the data of your customer discovery is important.  You can get a feel for what people say, but formally analyzing it will give you better information.  If you do interviews, you can still put the answers into a program like Survey Monkey so they can analyze the data for you. Sometimes once you get the answers, you will begin to see trends. You might notice if people answered one question a certain way, they were more likely to answer a second question a specific way. You can see many trends in the data if you look for them. 

 

Revision and Retesting

The whole point of this customer discovery process is to learn. If you are lucky, you will get through this survey, and everyone will say they love the idea and the product and they are willing to pay what you want them to pay. More likely, as you do these interviews, surveys, or tests, you will learn things that will make you rethink your product or solution. You can do a handful of customer discovery surveys and make urgent changes before you go on. Or you may get through the whole survey process and analyze the data before deciding what changes to make.  However you do it, the vital thing to remember is that you are doing this to learn how to produce a product people will pay for. Remember, until people buy your product for a profitable price, you have a hobby, not a business. Your job is to develop a successful business. That means you need a product that solves a problem that people want to solve badly enough to pay for.

Product development tends to be an iterative process. In other words, you get an idea, you research the fit, make revisions, test again and keep revising and testing until you get it right.  

 

How to Find Your Test Sample

Decide how many people you want to interview before you start. It is essential to have a big enough sample size to analyze. Talking to ten people, for example, isn’t enough to make a good business decision. I recommend talking to at least 100 people if you can swing it. You might want to do ten as phase one, then revise before you do the rest.

If possible, start with people you know well. That will give you a comfortable environment to test your survey before you try it on strangers. 

Next, go to what we call 2nd level connections. Those are friends of friends or connections of connections on LinkedIn.  Ask for introductions from people you know. If you have been introduced, people are much more likely to agree to the interview. Finally, you must reach out to strangers if you run out of people you know.  You could use LinkedIn for this or make cold calls. Let them know you are developing a product and would like to interview them to get their feedback. Let them know how long the interview will take. If you want to, you can offer a Starbucks gift card or something like that as a thank you.

 

Proceed, Pivot or Punt

You must decide at several points along the way if you will “proceed, pivot, or punt.”   You may make minor changes as you research, but keep moving forward with your business as planned. You may decide to pivot, meaning you will make significant changes in your product or target market. Finally, you may discover the company isn’t going to work. Maybe people don’t need to fix the problem, or there are better solutions out there, or perhaps people won’t pay enough to make the business profitable. Whatever the reason, sometimes deciding to give up is the right thing.

At various points in your startup journey, the decision to ‘proceed, pivot, or punt’ becomes crucial. Seeking advice and insights from experienced mentors, such as those affiliated with StartupNV, can offer a fresh perspective and guide you in making informed choices for the future of your business.

Even once you have a product on the market, you will likely update, upgrade or change it over time.  Some products, like Coca-Cola, always stay the same, while others, like iPhones, change yearly. 

 

Fastest Path to the Finish-line

For many founders, preparing the product for sale seems like the most direct path to success. It may be direct, but there is a huge risk of getting to the finish line without a buyer. Potential customers can be fickle and hard to understand, so customer discovery may seem like taking the long way around. There may be more twists and turns in the process, but the end result should be a product ready for a market that is willing to pay.  

By Liz Heiman, CEO at Regarding Sales and StartupNV Mentor

About the Author

Liz has been helping companies with enterprise (B2B complex sales) since 1998. She started her career at Miller Heiman training companies like HP, Coca-Cola, NCR and Johnson Controls. Now she works with startups and companies in transition to build sales operating systems to support sales and growth goals. Liz will work with any company who has a B2B complex sales, but is focused on manufacturing, med tech and other tech.

 

 

Customer Discovery Questions List by StartUpNV

 

  1. Have you experienced this situation?
  2. Is it a problem for you?
  3. Where and when do you experience this problem?
  4. How are you currently dealing with the situation?
  5.  How often do you experience the problem?
  6. How interested are you in an easier solution, on a scale of 1 to 10?
  7. How many others that you know experience the problem?
  8. How long should you have to wait for the solution to work?https://startupnv.org/customer-discovery-job-one-for-a-successful-startup/
  9. How much time are you willing to invest in learning the solution?
  10. Are you willing to pay for a better solution?
  11. How much are you willing to pay?
  12. If it is a one time solution, how often are you willing to pay for it?

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Businessman charting out a marketing plan

Getting to SOM – Serviceable Obtainable Market

Getting to SOM – Serviceable Obtainable Market

In the last blog, we went over the metrics of market sizes, TAM SAM and SOM. We dug into how to think about TAM and SAM, and in this blog we’ll cover SOM.g. TAM, SAM and SOM are important to investors because it informs them of how large the potential is for your startup. If the max market is in the millions, and not billions, there is limited capacity for sales and therefore an exit. The Service Addressable Market limits the risk for investors as it lets them know what the near term potential is. With most (successful) startups being acquired or having an exit in about 10 years, the investor wants to know what a reasonable market capture is possible within that time frame. SOM, the obtainable market, is an even shorter view. SOM is your estimate of revenue in a time bound period, such as 3-5 or 5-7 years.

Getting to your SOM number is hard. It sounds simple, but that is deceiving. To make a good estimate of SOM, one has to do the hard work of financial projections and creating a marketing roadmap. In addition to the basic Cost of Goods Sold work required before starting your business, one has to make estimates about sales projections as well. This is assuming that the CoGS analysis has led to your initial pricing. It also assumes the founder knows where the first market will be and what it will cost to advertise in that market. That calculation should not be the only commercialization research done. As you plan to expand into new markets, the very same analysis done to arrive at COGS and overhead in your first market should be done for potential second and third markets. Some things to consider are:

  • Rent: Do we need a new physical location, for services or distribution
  • Personnel: Can we use our existing personnel or do we need to hire locals? What is the average wage for the people we need? Will hiring in another state cause an undue burden for reporting or taxes? How available are the staff we’ll need in this location?
  • Advertising: What will it cost for advertising in this new market, using our favorite current channels?
  • Market Potential: Having determined our ideal customer in our first market, how large is the opportunity in this market?
  • Competitors: How well established are the competitors in this market? In some ways, having a competitor in the market is good. It establishes that there are customers willing to buy. If there are many competitors, it may be hard to penetrate the market.
  • Regulations: Are there new regulations we need to meet? If so, at what cost? What are local licensing fees?

This analysis should be done for all potential follow-on markets. It will help to figure out which market should be your second/third/etc.

This market expansion exercise will take some time. I suggest selecting five markets to analyze so that the comparison is robust. There should also be a plan in place to understand when to consider expanding into new markets. As you penetrate your first market, it may seem obvious where your next market should be. Sales or reorders may appear to cluster in one location and it might be tempting to just start spending on advertising in that location, but the analysis should still be done. It may be that a visitor to your first market has returned home and talked about your product or service and caused a mini boom in that area. The good news is you have a champion in this new location, but do the analysis anyway to determine what the costs of pursuing that location as a second market will be.

The next thing to understand is WHEN. When should you expand to a second or third market? This will be a guessing game at the outset. You haven’t even penetrated your first market and you’re having to guess where your second market will be? We’ve done the work and have a roadmap for our follow-on markets, but when is it time to make the leap to the next market ? More financial analysis is in order. 

There are a couple of ways to think about it. For example, sales could be your guidepost. When we get a certain level of organic sales in another market, then it may make sense to spend advertising dollars in that market to increase sales. If there is a large capital investment required to open a second market, then regardless of organic sales in the new market, it might make sense to have built up enough cash from the first market to be able to do the buildout and have enough cash to operate the second location at a loss for an extended period of time. Whatever amount of time you *think* it will take for that market to start paying for itself, it WILL be longer.

If we have a mobile technology and are first to market, then we must run faster and move to markets quickly. Do we have enough cash/credit/investment to do this? A similar analysis should be done to determine the cost of advertising in potential new markets and weigh that against the potential customers in a given market. It’s an art form not a science, and mostly guessing, but having done the analysis work, at least you can explain your thinking to a potential investor.

Here’s an example: A company has a food concept where two of the most popular cuisines can be ordered from the same location and delivered together, and they know that their best locations are college towns with a medium size city nearby. They start in Reno and do research to find next markets. They identify Salt Lake City, Missoula, Bozeman, Portland, Eugene, Corvallis, Pullman, Tempe, Tucson, Spokane, Moscow ID, Boise, Las Vegas. Portland and Las Vegas are larger cities than the others. Portland has two smaller universities that are 45 minutes apart, so a location between them might work. Las Vegas is quite spread out, but has a larger student population, which are primarily commuters. We’ll do the research, but think there are better markets than Las Vegas according to our ideal customer base. Performing the research on the other cities shows that the cost of advertising ranked lowest to highest is: Missoula, Eugene, Moscow, Spokane, Corvallis, Pullman, Salt Lake City, Tempe, Boise, Tucson, Bozeman, and Portland.  Comparing that with population, we get:

Example chart showing cost of advertising ranked lowest to highest

Continuing with our research for Service Obtainable Market, look at the table to identify the next best market. In doing this research (note: I made up the ranks for ad cost) I ranked the population by highest to lowest, and the ad cost from lowest to highest.  We want a low rank for ad cost and high rank for population. If we can find a 1-2-3 for ad cost and 12-11-10, that would be a good combination. That doesn’t work out. Continuing to seek the best combination, we have Spokane, ranked 4th in population and 4th in ad cost, so we’ll get more bang for our ad buck, reaching a greater number of people than the most populous cities. We should also look at student population. Spokane has Gonzaga University (7256), a WSU campus with 1600 students and UW Medical School with 159. The schools are located close to each other, so this seems like a very good second market. For Salt Lake City, only 16% live on campus, but there are housing neighborhoods very close to campus, so that seems like a very good third market. With the on-campus population and general spread of urban areas taken into account, Tempe may be more desirable if we can find a cooking location that is close to campus or the area where most students live. Some schools have very few on-campus dorms, so there may be more commuters. 22% of University of Arizona students in Tempe live on campus. Tempe may be a good fourth market, but we’ll have to revisit our research by the time we get to focusing on our 4th market.

As you can see, there is a lot of work to do to make a Market Roadmap, and while it will change over time, the research still needs to be done in order to arrive at SOM, your Obtainable Market. It should be done before you create your first investor pitch deck, and I submit once again that it should be done early for your own peace of mind. Is this business I’m starting one that will grow into the SAM and has potential to take a good percentage of the Total Addressable Market, or should I think in terms of dominating a single, first market?

Arriving at SOM – the Serviceable Obtainable Market is difficult, yet rewarding. After doing the research for Total Addressable Market and Service Available Market, the very thoughtful process of getting to SOM is time consuming and entails many small decisions that lead to a plan. Having gone through the basic financial information and then analyzing where and when secondary markets may be established should give a founder a thorough understanding of their industry, expenses and a good idea of a timeline for expansion. SOM – it’s not just for investors!

YouTube video of TAM SAM SOM Overview with good and poor examples.

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Beware the Carpetbaggers & Scalawags by Jeff Saling

Carpetbaggers come to town selling something sketchy (of dubious value) to “take” from locals without any intent of sticking around. Scalawags are their local enablers who lend credence to the carpetbaggers either out of naivete or because they’re in on it. As our startup ecosystem grows, we attract both – like moths to a flame. Beware.

I’ll (Jeff Saling) drop an occasional blog post in our newsletter to call out the behaviors I see – sometimes by name if it’s particularly egregious, and I hope our community will fight them off, like an infection. In chapter 1, I’ll pick on those who trade on the dreams and naivete of new founders. People or organizations that scam founders for cash and /or equity – – such as:

Charging founders a four figure amount to pitch to their investor group
Charging founders four figure amount and/or 2% equity to create a pitch deck, then access their “network”
Charging founders a four figure amount to “consult” on their business plan or financials – then pitch to their investor group
Getting professional help to create a great looking pitch deck is fine, but NEVER pay to pitch.

People or organizations that scam founders for equity with super sharky deals. This will happen even more as investment funds tighten.

Offer founders a $20k investment for 5 or 6% of their company… and access to their “network” of funders and mentors once they’ve completed their course.
Offer founders an investment – usually mid five or low six figures, then require they use the investor’s “professional services” to create pitch decks, business plans, rent office space, etc. – promising access to funders and mentors at the completion of a course.
You get the idea. These types of arrangements rarely work. Ask for success stats in advance – talk with other founders that have been in the program – and find them yourself. Don’t accept groomed references. You shouldn’t expect 100% great references – but be skeptical. It’s difficult because it seems SO REAL – SO POSSIBLE when you’re a founder and convinced you’ve got the next big thing.

Beware of Carpetbaggers and Scalawags.

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joyful woman business investors wanted

How to overcome a complicated name: 6 Steps to Ensure “Flawless Recall”

By: Liz Goodgold

Redfire Branding

New research confirms what most of us thought: a complex name hurts your chances of getting a job. And, here’s the double whammy: a difficult to pronounce name coupled with being a minority can lower your chances of getting a callback for a job by a whopping 50%!

With the world (thank goodness!) embracing names beyond Jim, Jane, and John, now is the time to translate your unfamiliar name to the familiar. Show and share how easy your name is with these techniques:

Add a visual guide to your name. Actress Saoirse Ronan routinely adds to articles that her name is pronounced “Sur-sha.” Or Emily Weinstein notes her moniker this way: WINE-Steen so that you don’t say “WINE-STINE.  Remember: don’t use diacritical marks (the complicated linguistic guides such as ē, in the word ease.)

  1. Break Down the Name – Dividing your name into easy to digest bites also works. The Russian name Artemii can be turned into Art-Team-Me.
  2. Play with Rhyme Time – A dear friend always said his name this way: “Mizhir rhymes with leisure.” Or Iwaniak: rhymes with Pontiac. Another woman writes her name, Frezhenay, this way: rhymes with chardonnay. A woman after my heart…and wine glass!
  3. Teach them how to pronounce it on LinkedIn. The social media platform has an easy guide on how to record your own name. Voila!
  4. Add a Metaphor/Simile – I met a man with the last name Brieuliette. He slyly explains: “have you tried the brie yet?” Or a man from Persia explains his name a Eyetern as in “I torn my jeans.” Of course, my girlfriend Alise always makes me laugh by stating “Alise,” as in you “sign a lease”!
  5. Make it Analogous – Unfortunately, I used to get introduced on stage as Liz GoldGood. I solved that problem by explaining that I am a speaker who is as good as gold, Liz Goodgold. Problem solved.

What works for you? I’m all ears.


Liz Goodgold is a branding and communications expert who has worked with over 14,000 employees and entrepreneurs to brand better and speak “gooder.” A former brand manager at Quaker Oats, she creates winning strategies that earn sizzling results.

Quick with a quip, Liz dishes the dirt on celebrity branding on 2 television shows, was a finalist judge for Simon Cowell, and is a frequent guest on TV. Liz is in an exclusive relationship with coffee. You can reach her at Liz@RedFireBranding.com

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